// Functions to calculate Annualized Failure Rate of your cluster // if you know AFR of your drives, number of drives, expected rebalance time // and replication factor // License: VNPL-1.0 (see README.md for details) module.exports = { cluster_afr, failure_rate, c_n_k, }; console.log(100*cluster_afr(100, 0.03, 10, 3), '%'); console.log(100*cluster_afr(1000, 0.03, 1, 3), '%'); console.log(100*cluster_afr(5, 0.1, 1, 2), '%'); console.log(100*cluster_afr(14, 0.01, 1, 2), '%'); console.log(100*cluster_afr(100, 0.03, 1, 2), '%'); // Estimate AFR of the cluster (not taking failure domains into account) // n - number of drives // afr - annualized failure rate of a single drive // l - expected rebalance time in days after a single drive failure // k - replication factor / number of drives that must fail at the same time for the cluster to fail function cluster_afr(n, afr, l, k) { let p = 0; for (let i = 0; i < n-(k-1); i++) { p += afr * (1-afr)**i * failure_rate(n-i-1, afr*l/365, k-1); } return p; } // Probability of at least failures in a cluster with drives with AFR= function failure_rate(n, a, f) { if (f <= 0) { return (1-a)**n; } let p = 1; for (let i = 0; i < f; i++) { p -= c_n_k(n, i) * (1-a)**(n-i) * a**i; } return p; } // Combination count function c_n_k(n, k) { let r = 1; for (let i = 0; i < k; i++) { r *= (n-i) / (i+1); } return r; }